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HomeMy WebLinkAboutItem 11 - Funding the Future PresentationResident Focus Groups & Survey Results Regarding Funding Priorities And Local Potential Revenue Options City Council –December 3, 2019 1 Recommendations As recommended by the Council ad hoc subcommittee 1.Receive a report on the results of two resident focus groups,a statistically relevant survey of registered voters and a plan for continued public engagement and outreach;and 2.Proceed with further public engagement on funding priorities for the City,including renewing and amending the Local Revenue Measure (LRM)with ongoing community oversight (Revenue Enhancement Oversight Commission);and 3.Provide an update to the Revenue Enhancement Oversight Commission and discuss potential roles to support and participate in public engagement and outreach efforts. 2 Background Original task as part of the work plan for the Fiscal Sustainability and Responsibility Major City Goal in the 2017-19 Financial Plan. On December 12, 2017, the Council first received a preliminary look at the long-term infrastructure and maintenance needs for the City. On January 16, 2018, the Council received an update on the long-term Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) and potential funding options. On April 17, 2018, the Council received an update on the list of projects (Funding the Future), community feedback and funding sources. The Council directed staff to develop an outreach and engagement plan as part of the 2019-21 Financial Plan. 3 Background Continued On February 5, 2019, Council directed staff to conduct further public engagement efforts including resident focus groups and a statistically relevant survey and to return to the Council with the results. Council appointed an ad hoc subcommittee of Vice- Mayor Pease and Council Member Stewart to guide and assist with these efforts. An additional item for consideration and direction by Council was to explore the feasibility of potentially renewing the LRM. 4 Public Engagement Efforts & Research The City retained an independent survey and research firm, FM3, to conduct two focus groups and a statistically relevant survey of registered voters that live in the city. Focus Groups Took place in June 2019. Almost evenly split on gender & generally reflected the demographic and geographic composition of the city’s electorate. Survey Results Took place between September 15 and 22, 2019 Overall margin of error of +/-4.9% 5 220-5437 Survey Conducted September 15-22, 2019 7 Focus Groups ✓Conducted 2 focus groups on June 2019 among 18 San Luis Obispo registered voters ✓One group of women and one group of men, who reflect the demographic and geographic diversity of the city voters Participants ✓A general sense that the City has a need for additional funds ✓Primarily focused on the need for additional funds for city services, maintenance and some infrastructure projects ✓Appeared to be supportive of a general-purpose, simple majority, sales tax measure to support those needs ✓The focus groups helped inform the drafting of the statistically representative survey 8 Conducted a Dual Mode Survey, online, by cell, and landline September 15-22, 2019 Surveys were completed using a random sample of 442 voters registered in the City of San Luis Obispo Overall margin of error for whole sample: +/-4.9% Margin of error for half the sample: +/-6.9% Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding Survey Methodology 9 10 21% 38% 13% 20% 8% Great need Some need Little need No real need Don't Know Great/ Some Need 59% Little/ No Real Need 33% Q. In your personal opinion, do you think there is a great need, some need, a little need, or no real need for additional fun ds to provide the level of city services and infrastructure that San Luis Obispo residents need and want? Almost six in ten perceive the City needs additional funds to provide the level of services and infrastructure residents need and want, though only about two in ten indicate there is a great need. 11 City of San Luis Obispo Essential Community Services/Infrastructure Measure Q. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? Shall an ordinance to provide funding to maintain police, fire/emergency response;repair streets/potholes; preserve open space/natural areas;protect creeks from pollution;ease crosstown traffic;enhance natural disaster preparation;address homelessness;maintain/ improve parks,afterschool programs/senior services, other general services/infrastructure by extending Measure G at a 1.5¢rate,providing approximately $23,700,000 annually until ended by voters;requiring audits,citizens oversight/all funds used locally,be adopted? 12 34% 25% 3% 4% 7% 21% 5% Definitely yes Probably yes Undecided, lean yes Undecided, lean no Probably no Definitely no Undecided Total Yes 63% Total No 32% A majority of supporters initially support the simple majority City sales tax measure, outside the margin of error. 59% Q. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? 13 Regardless of household income, support is above the threshold needed to pass. Q. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? Initial Vote on the Sales Tax Measure by Household Income <$50,000 $50,000-$75,000 $75,000-$100,000 $100,000+ Total Yes Total No Undecided (% of Sample)(26%)(19%)(15%)(32%) 14 The more one perceives a need for additional funds for City services, the more one is likely to vote yes on the measure. Q. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? Initial Vote on the Sales Tax Measure by Need for Additional Funding Great Need Some Need Little/No Real Need Don't Know/ No Answer Total Yes Total No Undecided (% of Sample)(21%)(38%)(33%)(8%) 15 There is no significant difference in support between an extension of the current sales tax to 1½-cents and a 1-cent sales tax. Q. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? Q. What if the proposed measure I just described established a one-cent sales tax raising $15.8 million, instead of a one and a half-cent sales tax raising $23.7 million, do you think you would: vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? Definitely yes Probably yes Undecided, lean yes Undecided, lean no Probably no Definitely no Undecided 34% 25% 3% 4% 7% 21% 5% Total Yes 63% Total No 32% Initial 1½-cent 1-cent 59% 35% 22% 4% 2% 10% 22% 6% Total Yes 60% Total No 34% 57% 16 17 Ext./Very Impt. 68% 64% 42% 42% 26% 27% 10% 14% 42% 37% 31% 28% 23% 26% 38% 32% 9% 11% 20% 26% 2019 2018 2019 2018 Ext. Impt.Very Impt.Smwt. Impt.Not Too Impt./DK/NA Q. I am going to read you a list of possible infrastructure projects and services that could be funded by a potential new Cit y revenue measure. Regardless of how you feel about a revenue measure, please tell me how important it is to you personally that each of the fol lowing infrastructure projects or services is included in the measure: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too importan t. Split Sample Voters continue to rate with greater importance maintaining rather than improving essential City services. (Ranked by Extremely/Very Important) Maintaining essential city services Improving essential city services 18 Ext./Very Impt. 61% 58% 48% 47% 21% 21% 13% 16% 40% 37% 36% 31% 31% 28% 31% 31% 7% 15% 20% 22% 2019 2018 2019 2018 Ext. Impt.Very Impt.Smwt. Impt.Not Too Impt./DK/NA Q. I am going to read you a list of possible infrastructure projects and services that could be funded by a potential new Cit y revenue measure. Regardless of how you feel about a revenue measure, please tell me how important it is to you personally that each of the fol lowing infrastructure projects or services is included in the measure: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too importan t. Split Sample The same can be said of maintaining rather than improving City infrastructure. (Ranked by Extremely/Very Important) Maintaining City infrastructure Improving City infrastructure 19 Ext./Very Impt. 79% 73% 71% 71% 67% 67% 66% 66% 65% 42% 35% 43% 35% 30% 26% 32% 29% 23% 37% 38% 28% 36% 37% 42% 35% 37% 42% 13% 18% 19% 20% 26% 21% 23% 18% 29% 8% 9% 10% 10% 7% 12% 11% 16% 6% Requiring all funds used locally Protecting creeks from pollution Addressing homelessness Maintaining police, fire/emergency response Keeping public areas safe and clean Helping ensure children have safe places to play Preserving open space and natural areas Requiring all funds to benefit the community Protecting long-term fiscal stability Ext. Impt.Very Impt.Smwt. Impt.Not Too Impt./Don't Know Requiring all funds used locally; protecting creeks from pollution; addressing homelessness; and maintaining police, fire/emergency response are among the most important features of a possible measure. Q. I am going to read you a list of possible infrastructure projects and services that could be funded by a potential new Cit y revenue measure. Regardless of how you feel about a revenue measure, please tell me how important it is to you personally that each of the fol lowing infrastructure projects or services is included in the measure: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too importan t. Split Sample (Ranked by Extremely/Very Important) 20 Ext./Very Impt. 62% 62% 59% 59% 55% 54% 53% 27% 26% 32% 29% 22% 13% 24% 34% 36% 27% 30% 33% 41% 29% 28% 29% 23% 29% 29% 33% 30% 10% 8% 19% 12% 15% 13% 17% Preparing for wildfires and other natural disasters Repairing streets and potholes Increasing affordable housing supplies Retaining and attracting local businesses Maintaining and improving parks Expanding open space and natural areas Ext. Impt.Very Impt.Smwt. Impt.Not Too Impt./Don't Know Continued Q. I am going to read you a list of possible infrastructure projects and services that could be funded by a potential new Cit y revenue measure. Regardless of how you feel about a revenue measure, please tell me how important it is to you personally that each of the fol lowing infrastructure projects or services is included in the measure: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too importan t. Split Sample (Ranked by Extremely/Very Important) Replacing fire stations that have been determined by structural engineers to not meet current seismic earthquake standards 21 22 42% 33% 39% 28% 35% 27% 71% 69% 66% Much More Incl.Smwt. More Incl. Addressing homelessness, maintaining the City’s character, and ensuring strict accountability are the leading persuasive statements that make voters more inclined to vote yes on the measure. Q I would like you to think about the one and one-half cent sales tax, entitled the City of San Luis Obispo Essential Community Services/Infrastructure Measure that I asked you about earlier. I am going to read some statements made by people who support the proposal. Please tell me i f this makes you more inclined to vote yes on this measure. ^Not Part of Split Sample (HOMELESS) According to the 2019 homeless census, there has been more than a 26% increase in the number of persons experiencing homelessness in the City of San Luis Obispo over the last two years. This measure will help the City address homelessness by providing more access to local homeless prevention services including health and mental health services, and substance abuse treatment. This will also ensure our downtown, parks and other public areas are safe, clean and secure for everyone. (MAINTAIN CHARACTER) Many San Luis Obispo residents live in our community because it provides a safe and small-town feel with open space, natural areas, parks and outdoor recreational opportunities. This measure will help preserve our community’s character by helping ease traffic, protecting our local wildlife, open space, and maintain and invest in our hiking trails, biking trails, parks and recreational areas. ^(ACCOUNTABILITY) This measure includes strict accountability requirements to make sure that funds are used effectively and as promised, including an independent oversight committee and annual independent financial audits, and all money will stay local and cannot be taken by Sacramento or Washington DC. (Ranked by % Total More likely to Vote Yes on the Measure) 23 35% 32% 27% 31% 32% 37% 66% 65% 65% Much More Incl.Smwt. More Incl. Continued Q. I would like you to think about the one and one-half cent sales tax, entitled the City of San Luis Obispo Essential Community Services/Infrastructure Measure that I asked you about earlier. I am going to read some statements made by people who support the proposal. Please tell me i f this makes you more inclined to vote yes on this measure. ^Not Part of Split Sample (RESPONSE TIMES -MEDICAL)When you have an emergency, seconds count.Slightly more than one in every two calls to the City of San Luis Obispo Fire Department are related to emergency rescue and medical emergencies.This measure will ensure that San Luis Obispo has the needed firefighters-paramedics, infrastructure, lifesaving equipment, and communications technology to respond quickly to emergencies and save lives. ^(SALES TAX) Nearly three-quarters of sales tax dollars collected in San Luis Obispo come from tourists and visitors from surrounding areas. So, this measure will help make sure they are paying their fair share to use community resources and infrastructure and not leaving it to be paid exclusively by city residents. And, this measure will not be applied to prescription medication or food purchased as groceries. (STREETS) Road engineers have recently rated close to one in every five streets in the City of San Luis Obispo as either “fair,” “marginal,” “poor,” or “very poor.” Without upgrades, these roads will continue to deteriorate and cost taxpayers more money over time. (Ranked by % Total More likely to Vote Yes on the Measure) 24 29% 24% 24% 35% 33% 33% 64% 57% 56% Much More Incl.Smwt. More Incl. Continued (YOUTH) Over 3,000 local kids participate in City-run and supervised afterschool and summer youth programs for at-risk youth and other youth programs. This measure will help maintain and expand the number of these programs and recreational facilities and parks in which they take place. These programs keep our community’s kids off the streets, safe and out of trouble. (SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITY) This measure provides funds that will help the City achieve its goal of becoming a more sustainable community by ensuring less congested roads, alternative transportation options, and the investment in services and infrastructure projects that focus on the protection of our land, air and water for current residents and future generations. (INFRASTRUCTURE) The City of San Luis Obispo is over 160 years old and has aging infrastructure which needs to be repaired and upgraded. This measure invests in our community’s safety by funding such projects as replacing outdated fire stations to ensure they meet earthquake safety standards; repairing sidewalks; updating aging playground equipment and upgrading some of the major congested crosstown streets; originally designed in the early part of the 20th century when the population was less than 15,000. (Ranked by % Total More likely to Vote Yes on the Measure) Q I would like you to think about the one and one-half cent sales tax, entitled the City of San Luis Obispo Essential Community Services/Infrastructure Measure that I asked you about earlier. I am going to read some statements made by people who support the proposal. Please tell me i f this makes you more inclined to vote yes on this measure. Split Sample 25 Following the dissemination of more information, overall support for the measure increases two percentage points while the “definitely yes” count increases seven points. Q. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? Definitely yes Probably yes Undecided, lean yes Undecided, lean no Probably no Definitely no Undecided 34% 25% 3% 4% 7% 21% 5% Total Yes 63% Total No 32% Initial 1½-cent Vote Vote After Information 59% 41% 21% 4% 1% 7% 22% 5% Total Yes 65% Total No 30% 62% 26 27 Conclusion ✓Almost six in ten perceive there is a need for additional funds for City services and infrastructure, though only about two in ten perceive there is a great need. ✓There is a strong emphasis on maintaining the services and City infrastructure they currently have. ✓Among voters, priorities include: protecting creeks from pollution; addressing homelessness; maintain police, fire and emergency response; and keeping public areas safe and clean. 28 Conclusion (Continued) ✓Initially, slightly more than six in ten (63%) would vote yes on the sales tax measure, with about one-third (34%) saying they would definitely vote yes. ✓Statements about addressing homelessness; maintaining the character of San Luis Obispo; ensuring quick firefighters/paramedics response; and the inclusion of strict accountability provisions are lead reasons for voters to support the measure. ✓After education, overall support increases modestly by two percentage points to 65%; but those saying they would definitely vote yes increase by seven percentage points (41%). Further Public Engagement Efforts December May Inform & Consult Opportunities for Feedback City Council •Residents •Community Stakeholders •Presentations/Q&A to: •Community organizations •Neighborhood groups •City Advisory bodies •Facility tours •Information sessions •Online feedback (Open City Hall) •Return to the City Council in late spring with the results 29 Existing Local Revenue Measure Passed by 70% of voters in November 2014 Renewal of the City’s half-cent sales tax approved in 2006 Funding is generally split: 70% for maintaining infrastructure & 30% on essential services Open Space Preservation Bicycle and Pedestrian Improvements Neighborhood Street Paving Flood Protection Code Enforcement Parks and Recreation/Senior Programs and Facilities. Traffic Congestion Relief/Safety Improvements Public Safety & Other Vital Services and Capital Projects 30 Recommendations As recommended by the Council ad hoc subcommittee 1.Receive a report on the results of two resident focus groups,a statistically relevant survey of registered voters and a plan for continued public engagement and outreach. 2.Proceed with further public engagement on funding priorities for the City,including renewing and amending the Local Revenue Measure (LRM)with ongoing community oversight (Revenue Enhancement Oversight Commission). 3.Provide an update to the Revenue Enhancement Oversight Commission and discuss potential roles to support and participate in public engagement and outreach efforts. 31 THANK YOU 32