Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutItem 12 - COUNCIL READING FILE_f_Traffic Analysis Report GHD | 669 Pacific St, Suite A, San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 | 11211884 | 11211884-TIAR001Final.docx | March 2021 Downtown Auto Lane Reduction Study Traffic Analysis Report City of San Luis Obispo GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page i GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page i Table of Contents 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 1 2. Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................... 3 Vehicle Miles Travelled ...................................................................................................... 4 Existing Conditions (Pre-Covid)......................................................................................... 4 Existing Plus Project (Lane Reduction) ............................................................................. 4 Cumulative ......................................................................................................................... 6 Cumulative Plus Project (Lane Reduction) ........................................................................ 7 3. Analysis Methodology and Parameters...................................................................................... 10 3.1 Study Intersections & Segments ...................................................................................... 10 3.2 Data Collection and Analysis Time Periods ..................................................................... 10 3.3 Traffic Forecasts .............................................................................................................. 11 3.4 CEQA & City Level of Service Policy ............................................................................... 11 3.5 Level of Service Methodologies ....................................................................................... 12 3.6 Alternative Bicycle Phasing Scenarios ............................................................................ 13 3.6.1 Bicycle Scramble Phase ................................................................................. 13 3.6.2 Alternative Protected Bike Signal Scenario .................................................... 13 3.7 Significance and Mitigation Thresholds ........................................................................... 14 3.7.1 Intersection Level of Service Thresholds ....................................................... 14 3.7.1.1 Agency Intersection Level of Service Guidelines and Polices ....................... 14 3.7.2 LOS Thresholds Based on AADT ................................................................... 14 3.7.3 Vehicle Queue Standards ............................................................................... 15 3.8 Technical Analysis Parameters ....................................................................................... 15 4. Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................... 16 4.1 Existing Intersection Operations ...................................................................................... 16 4.2 Existing Roadway Operations .......................................................................................... 17 4.3 Existing - Queue Operations ............................................................................................ 17 5. Project Description ..................................................................................................................... 19 5.1 Project Proposal ............................................................................................................... 19 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page ii 6. Existing Plus Project Conditions ................................................................................................ 19 6.1 Existing Intersection Operations ...................................................................................... 20 6.2 Existing Plus Project Roadway Operations ..................................................................... 20 6.3 Existing plus Project - Queue Operations ........................................................................ 21 6.4 Existing Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase ........................................................... 22 6.5 Existing Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase – Queue Operations ......................... 23 6.6 Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal .............................................. 23 6.7 Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal – Queue Operations ............ 23 7. Year 2040 Conditions ................................................................................................................. 25 7.1 Year 2040 No Project Conditions .................................................................................... 25 7.2 Year 2040 No Project Roadway Operations .................................................................... 26 7.3 Year 2040 No Project - Queue Operations ...................................................................... 26 8. Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions ............................................................................................ 28 8.1 Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions .................................................................................. 28 8.2 Year 2040 Plus Project Roadway Operations ................................................................. 29 8.3 Year 2040 Plus Project - Queue Operations ................................................................... 29 8.4 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase ....................................................... 31 8.5 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase – Queue Operations ..................... 31 8.6 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal .......................................... 32 8.7 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal – Queue Operations ....... 32 9. Overall Findings ......................................................................................................................... 33 Table Index Table 3.1: Study Roadway Segments .................................................................................................. 10 Table 3.2: Study Roadway Segments .................................................................................................. 10 Table 3.3: LOS Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 12 Table 3.4: MMLOS Objectives and Service Standards ........................................................................ 14 Table 3.5: LOS AADT Thresholds ........................................................................................................ 14 Table 3.6: LOS AADT Thresholds ........................................................................................................ 15 Table 3.7: MMLOS Objectives and Service Standards ........................................................................ 15 Table 4.1: Existing Intersection Level of Service ................................................................................. 16 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page iii Table 4.2: Existing Roadway Level of Service ..................................................................................... 17 Table 4.3: Existing Conditions Queuing Analysis ................................................................................. 17 Table 6.1: Existing Plus Project Intersection Level of Service ............................................................. 20 Table 6.2: Existing Roadway Level of Service ..................................................................................... 20 Table 6.3: Existing plus Project Conditions .......................................................................................... 21 Queuing Analysis ................................................................................................................ 21 Table 6.4: Existing Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase ................................................................ 22 Table 6.5: Existing Plus Project ............................................................................................................ 23 w/Bicycle Scramble Phase .................................................................................................. 23 Table 6.6: Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal ................................................. 23 Table 6.7: Existing Plus Project ............................................................................................................ 24 w/Alternative Bicycle Protected Phase ................................................................................ 24 Table 7.1: Year 2040 No Project Conditions Level of Service ............................................................. 25 Table 7.2: Year 2040 No Project Conditions Roadway Level of Service ............................................. 26 Table 7.3: Year 2040 No Project Conditions ........................................................................................ 26 Queuing Analysis ................................................................................................................ 26 Table 8.1: Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Level of Service ........................................................... 28 Table 8.2: Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Roadway Level of Service ........................................... 29 Table 8.3: Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions ..................................................................................... 29 Queuing Analysis ................................................................................................................ 29 Table 8.4: Year 2040 Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase ............................................................ 31 Table 8.5: Year 2040 Plus Project ........................................................................................................ 31 w/Bicycle Scramble Phase .................................................................................................. 31 Table 8.6: Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal ............................................. 32 Table 8.7: Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal ............................................. 32 Appendix Index Appendix A NACTO – Signal Phasing Strategy Appendix B Synchro LOS Worksheets GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page iv GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 1 1. Introduction The City of San Luis Obispo is proposing to remove one automobile lane on both Marsh & Higuera Streets in the downtown core to address speeding, provide width for improved pedestrian & bicycle facilities, as well as existing and future parklets. The overall scope of this project is depicted below. Visual Simulations of the Proposed Changes are also provided below. Higuera South of Nipomo Existing Proposed GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 2 Higuera at Court Street Existing Proposed Marsh Between Chorro & Morro Existing Proposed Marsh at Torro Existing Proposed GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 3 The purpose of this study is to analyze the operational affects of reducing travel lanes as proposed on Marsh & Higuera within the Downtown Core following the City’s adopted level of service and queue threshold policies. This Analysis has been conducted per the City’s RFP and traffic impact study guidelines for 14 intersections and 12 segments within the scope of the proposed project under existing and cumulative conditions. For the purposes of this analysis Higuera & Marsh are considered East & West streets. In addition, an assessment of a Bicycle scramble and a Bicycle Protected intersection phasing were conducted at Marsh & Higuera as well as Marsh & Johnson under the existing + project & cumulative + project scenarios. This memorandum includes analysis scenarios as described below, using the City’s master synchro network and most recent existing traffic volumes, GHD isolated the study area, validated and updated geometry, volumes, and signal timing to existing conditions to establish the existing conditions baseline conditions. GHD forecasted Existing + Project volumes based on a combination of the City’s Traffic Model and most recent traffic volumes. For cumulative conditions GHD forecasted Cumulative and Cumulative + Project volumes based on a combination of the City’s Traffic Model and professional judgement. This analysis assesses the following four scenarios: • Existing Conditions • Existing Plus Project Conditions • Year 2040 No Project Conditions • Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions 2. Executive Summary Reduction of travel lanes as proposed would not cause level of service in the downtown to exceed policy thresholds or create intersection queueing issues under current conditions. Under cumulative conditions the downtown core is forecasted to have queues at Marsh & Higuera side streets that exceed block lengths with and without the proposed project. A Bicycle Scramble under current conditions at Marsh & Higuera & Marsh & Johnson would operate within City level of Service policy thresholds, however queuing at Higuera & Marsh would exceed capacity. Under Cumulative conditions Higuera & Marsh would exceed level of service thresholds and queuing capacity whereas Marsh & Johnson would operate within level of service thresholds. A Protected bicycle phase under current conditions at Marsh & Higuera & Marsh & Johnson would operate within City level of Service policy thresholds. Under Cumulative conditions Higuera & Marsh would exceed level of service thresholds and queuing capacity whereas Marsh & Johnson would operate within level of service thresholds. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 4 Vehicle Miles Travelled The proposed project satisfies California Office of Planning and Research screening criteria for project type. “Projects that would not likely lead to a substantial or measurable increase in vehicle travel, and therefore generally should not require and induced travel analysis, include: Reduction of through lanes” Existing Conditions (Pre-Covid) • All intersections and segments meet LOS thresholds. • Higuera Street & Marsh Street Intersection EBR turning movement (from Hwy 101 to SB Higuera) in the AM and PM peaks exceed turn pocket capacity. However, the right turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. • Higuera Street & Nipomo Street Intersection NWL bound turning movements (NB Nipomo to WB Higuera) in the PM exceeds turn pocket capacity. However, average queue is calculated at 52 feet, only two feet over the current capacity. Effectively the current capacity is fully utilized. Existing Plus Project (Lane Reduction) 1. All intersections and segments meet LOS thresholds. The proposed project does not cause level of service thresholds to be exceeded. 2. Higuera Street & Marsh Street EBR turning movements in the AM and PM exceed turn pocket capacity. However, the right turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. 3. Higuera Street & Nipomo Street Due to forecasted volume redistributions the proposed project is forecasted to reduce NWL queuing at this intersection. 4. Forecasted volume and corridor capacities for both Marsh & Higuera are shown in the figures below. Overall capacities are reduced with the lane reduction, however existing volumes are still well within those capacities: GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 5 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 6 Cumulative 1. All intersections and segments meet LOS thresholds. 2. Higuera Street & Marsh Street EBR (from Hwy 101 to SB Higuera) and NBL (From NB Higuera to Hwy 101) turning movements in the AM and PM peak hour exceeds turn pocket capacity. The EBR turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. The NBL (From NB Higuera to Hwy 101) queues are projected to exceed pocket capacity, extending approximately 489 feet which is south of Pacific Street. However, Intersection Widening and upgrades to roundabout control are identified in the City’s concept plans. Recommendation: Prioritize future funding allocations for Higuera & Marsh Intersection Upgrades. 3. Higuera Street & Nipomo Street NWL bound (NB Nipomo to WB Higuera) turning movements in the AM and PM exceeds turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current left turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Nipomo left turn queues are forecasted to extend into the prior intersection at Pacific. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 4. Marsh Street & Nipomo Street SEL bound (From SB Nipomo to EB Marsh) turning movement in the AM peak hour exceeds turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current left turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Nipomo left turn queues are forecasted to extended into prior intersection at Higuera. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 5. Marsh Street & Broad Street NWR bound (From NB Broad to EB Marsh) turning movements in the AM peak hour exceed turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current right turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Broad right turn queues are forecasted to extended into prior intersection at Pacific. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 7 Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 6. Higuera Street & Chorro Street SBR bound (From SB Chorro to WB Higuera) turning movements in the AM and PM peak hour exceed turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current right turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Chorro right turn queues are forecasted to extended into prior intersection at Monterey. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. Cumulative Plus Project (Lane Reduction) 7. All intersection and segments meet LOS thresholds. 8. Higuera Street & Marsh Street EBR (from Hwy 101 to SB Higuera) and NBL (From NB Higuera to Hwy 101) turning movements in the AM and PM peak hour exceeds turn pocket capacity. However, Intersection Widening and upgrades to roundabout control are identified in the City’s concept plans. The EBR turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. The NBL (From NB Higuera to Hwy 101) queues are projected to exceed pocket capacity, extending approximately 501 feet which is south of Pacific Street. Recommendation: Prioritize future funding allocations for Higuera & Marsh Intersection Upgrades. 9. Higuera Street & Nipomo Street NWL bound (NB Nipomo to WB Higuera) turning movements in the AM and PM exceeds turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current left turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Nipomo left turn queues are forecasted to extend into the prior intersection at Pacific. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 10. Marsh Street & Nipomo Street SEL bound (From SB Nipomo to EB Marsh) turning movement in the AM peak hour exceeds turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current left turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Nipomo left turn queues are forecasted to extended into prior intersection at Higuera. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 8 Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 11. Marsh Street & Broad Street NWR bound (From NB Broad to EB Marsh) turning movements in the AM peak hour exceed turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current right turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Broad right turn queues are forecasted to extended into prior intersection at Pacific. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 12. Higuera Street & Chorro Street SBR bound (From SB Chorror to WB Higuera) turning movements in the AM and PM peak hour exceed turn pocket capacity. Due to the closely spaced intersections in the downtown area, overall block lengths are approximately 250’. The current right turn pocket is approximately 50’, under cumulative conditions Chorro right turn queues are forecasted to extended into prior intersection at Monterey. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 5. Forecasted volume and corridor capacities for both Marsh & Higuera are shown in the figures below. Overall capacities are reduced with the lane reduction, however future volumes are still well within those capacities: GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 9 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 10 3. Analysis Methodology and Parameters 3.1 Study Intersections & Segments The following 14 intersections and 12 roadway segments were established were analyzed under existing and cumulative conditions. Study Intersections: Table 3.1: Study Roadway Segments # Intersection # Intersection 1. Higuera Street / Marsh Street 8. Marsh Street / Osos Street 2. Higuera Street / Nipomo Street 9. Marsh Street / Chorro Street 3. Marsh Street / Nipomo Street 10. Marsh Street / Johnson Street 4. Marsh Street / Broad Street 11. Higuera Street / Morro Street 5. Higuera Street / Broad Street 12. Marsh Street / Morro Street 6. Higuera Street / Chorro Street 13. Higuera Street / Santa Rosa Street 7. Higuera Street / Osos Street 14. Marsh Street / Santa Rosa Street Roadway Segments: Table 3.2: Study Roadway Segments # Segment Limits 1. Higuera Street Marsh Street to Nipomo Street 2. Higuera Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street 3. Higuera Street Broad Street to Chorro Street 4. Higuera Street Chorro Street to Osos Street 5. Higuera Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street 6. Higuera Street Santa Rosa Street Toro Street 7. Higuera Street Toro Street to Johnson Street 8. Marsh Street Higuera Street to Nipomo Street 9. Marsh Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street 10. Marsh Street Broad Street to Osos Street 11. Marsh Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street 12. Marsh Street Santa Rosa Street to Johnson Street 3.2 Data Collection and Analysis Time Periods Traffic volume trends have been affected by COVID to some degree, the extent to which is temporary and permanent as part of a “new normal” is unknown. GHD used historical Weekday AM and PM peak hour counts conducted by Quality Traffic Data in October 2018. All intersections have been analyzed during the AM and PM peak hour periods. The AM peak hour is defined as the highest continuous hour of peak traffic flow counted between 7:00 a.m. and 9:00 a.m. and the PM peak hour is defined as the highest continuous hour of peak traffic flow counted between 3:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. under typical weekday conditions. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 11 3.3 Traffic Forecasts Existing + Project volumes were forecasted using the City’s TransCAD travel demand model, lane reductions were programmed in the base year scenario. Base Year and Base Year + Project volumes were compared to determine proportional volume redistributions that could be expected as a result of the lane reductions. Those proportional changes were then applied to existing volume to determine forecasted Existing + Project Average Daily Segment and Peak Hour Intersection Turning movement volumes. Cumulative and Cumulative + Project volumes were also forecasted using the City’s TransCAD travel demand model, lane reductions were programmed into the cumulative year scenario. Volume for both scenarios were extracted from the model reviewed and validated for relative accuracy. 3.4 CEQA & City Level of Service Policy Due to the nature of the project and California Office of Planning & Research Guidance the project is presumed to have a less than significant impact on VMT, safety, & Induced Travel. The project is also consistent with the City’s adopted withy City Adopted Transportation Plan & Policy and therefore would be exempt of Environmental Review. The City has however adopted Level of Service and Queueing policy thresholds outside of CEQA which are primary focus of this transportation analysis. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 12 3.5 Level of Service Methodologies The following section outlines the methodology and analysis parameters that were used to quantify Existing and Year 2040 traffic operations at study intersections. Table 3.3: LOS Criteria Level of Service Type of Flow Delay Maneuverability Stopped Delay/Vehicle Signalized Un- signalized All-Way Stop A Stable Flow Very slight delay. Progression is very favorable, with most vehicles arriving during the green phase not stopping at all. Turning movements are easily made, and nearly all drivers find freedom of operation. <10.0 <10.0 <10.0 B Stable Flow Good progression and/or short cycle lengths. More vehicles stop than for LOS A, causing higher levels of average delay. Vehicle platoons are formed. Many drivers begin to feel somewhat restricted within groups of vehicles. >10.0 >10.0 >10.0 and and and <20.0 <15.0 <15.0 C Stable Flow Higher delays resulting from fair progression and/or longer cycle lengths. Individual cycle failures may begin to appear at this level. The number of vehicles stopping is significant, although many still pass through the intersection without stopping. Back-ups may develop behind turning vehicles. Most drivers feel somewhat restricted >20.0 >15.0 >15.0 and and and <35.0 <25.0 <25.0 D Approaching Unstable Flow The influence of congestion becomes more noticeable. Longer delays may result from some combination of unfavorable progression, long cycle lengths, or high volume-to-capacity ratios. Many vehicles stop, and the proportion of vehicles not stopping declines. Individual cycle failures are noticeable. Maneuverability is severely limited during short periods due to temporary back-ups. >35.0 >25.0 >25.0 and and and <55.0 <35.0 <35.0 E Unstable Flow Generally considered to be the limit of acceptable delay. Indicative of poor progression, long cycle lengths, and high volume-to- capacity ratios. Individual cycle failures are frequent occurrences. There are typically long queues of vehicles waiting upstream of the intersection. >55.0 >35.0 >35.0 and and and <80.0 <50.0 <50.0 F Forced Flow Generally considered to be unacceptable to most drivers. Often occurs with over saturation. May also occur at high volume-to- capacity ratios. There are many individual cycle failures. Poor progression and long cycle lengths may also be major contributing factors. Jammed conditions. Back- ups from other locations restrict or prevent movement. Volumes may vary widely, depending principally on the downstream back-up conditions. >80.0 >50.0 >50.0 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 13 Due to the signal phasing, the intersections of Higuera Street & Marsh Street and Marsh Street & Johnson Street was analyzed using the 2000 HCM methodology as the HCM 6 methodology does not support the intersection phasing. For signalized intersections, the intersection delays are average values for all intersection movements. Table 3.3 (above) presents the delay-based LOS criteria for different types of intersection control. 3.6 Alternative Bicycle Phasing Scenarios An additional consideration is the addition of a bicycle scramble phase and alternative protected bike signal scenario to the following signalized intersections for plus project scenarios only: • Higuera Street & Marsh Street • Marsh Street & Johnson Street The above intersections were modified/analyzed to include a protected bicycle phase allowing bicycle movement through the intersection. Analysis was conducted using Synchro 10.0 (Trafficware). As noted in Section 3.3, the intersections of Higuera Street & Marsh Street and Marsh Street & Johnson Street was analyzed using the 2000 HCM methodology as the HCM 6 methodology does not support the intersection phasing. 3.6.1 Bicycle Scramble Phase Bicycle Scramble Scenario phase incorporates a dedicated bicycle phase into the intersection signal plan. Phase would prohibit turning movements for all other phases allowing for only thru movement thru the intersection for bikes only. 3.6.2 Alternative Protected Bike Signal Scenario As cited in NACTO (National Association of City Transportation Officials), a protected bike signal is a fully separated signal phasing for bikes. For the protected intersection scenario, right turn on red (RTOR) is prohibited. Refer to Appendix A. NACTO GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 14 3.7 Significance and Mitigation Thresholds The following thresholds of significance or deficiencies were used to determine if the impact is projected to have a significant impact and requires mitigation or operates below the City’s level of service policy on study intersections and roadway segments. 3.7.1 Intersection Level of Service Thresholds Under Senate Bill 743, automobile level of service is no longer considered an environmental impact. However, the City of San Luis Obispo's General Plan Circulation Element contains the following policy pertaining to LOS standards in the City. Because these level of service thresholds are no longer subject to CEQA, deficiencies are not considered an environmental impact. Rather inconsistency with local level of service policy should be addressed with conditions approval outside of CEQA. 3.7.1.1 Agency Intersection Level of Service Guidelines and Polices Section 6.1.2: Establish the following peak-hour LOS standards for multimodal objectives, service standards, and significance criteria. They reflect the special circumstances of various areas of the community. Table 3.4 identifies the LOS objectives and minimum LOS standards. Table 3.4: MMLOS Objectives and Service Standards Travel Mode LOS Objective Minimum LOS Standard Bicycle B D Pedestrian B C Transit C Baseline LOS or LOS D, whichever is lower Vehicle C E (Downtown), D (All Other Routes) The City of San Luis Obispo's General Plan Circulation Element is accessible via the following internet site: https://www.slocity.org/home/showdocument?id=6637. 3.7.2 LOS Thresholds Based on AADT The following AADT thresholds of significance were estimated using the City of San Luis Obispo’s General Plan Circulation Element methodologies based on Urban (>5,000 Population) Interrupted Flow Arterial (Signalized) roadways as listed in Table 3.5 below. Table 3.5: LOS AADT Thresholds Urban (>5,000 Population) Interrupted Flow Arterial (Signalized) Lanes Divided Level of Service A B C D E 2 Undivided 0 3,200 10,480 12,400 13,040 2 Undivided 0 4,000 13,100 15,500 16,300 2 Divided 0 4,200 13,755 16,275 17,115 4 Undivided 3,450 20,925 24,600 25,650 25,650 4 Undivided 4,370 26,505 31,160 32,490 32,490 4 Divided 4,600 27,900 32,800 34,200 34,200 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 15 Urban (>5,000 Population) Interrupted Flow Arterial (Signalized) Lanes Divided Level of Service A B C D E 6 Undivided 5,175 32,100 36,975 38,550 38,550 6 Undivided 6,555 40,660 46,835 48,830 48,830 6 Divided 6,900 42,800 49,300 51,400 51,400 For purposes of this study and existing study roadway segment one-way orientation, Table 3.5 above, highlighted in red, is modified below to represent one-way orientation thresholds. Modification thresholds shown in Table 3.6 are half the values highlighted in red. Table 3.6: LOS AADT Thresholds Urban (>5,000 Population) Interrupted Flow Arterial (Signalized) Lanes Divided Level of Service A B C D E 1 Undivided 0 2,100 6,878 8,138 8,558 2 Undivided 2,300 13,950 16,400 17,100 17,100 3 Undivided 3,450 21,400 24,650 25,700 25,700 3.7.3 Vehicle Queue Standards Vehicle queues are considered acceptable within this report if the queues are accommodated within the available storage for left- and right turn lanes. Queues are based on Synchro que length (95th) percentile and queues values were rounded to the nearest 25th foot (in the queue table analysis) as the default value for passenger cars, for queue value outputs less than 25 feet. 3.8 Technical Analysis Parameters This TAR provides an evaluation of traffic operating conditions by incorporating appropriate heavy vehicle adjustment factors and peak hour factors. The resulting intersection delays and LOS are estimated using HCM 6 based analysis methodologies. Table 3.7 presents various parameters that are be applied to study intersections within this analysis. Table 3.7: MMLOS Objectives and Service Standards Technical Parameters City Intersections Grade Level % Trucks From Traffic Counts PHF for Existing & Existing Plus Project From Traffic Counts PHF for Future Conditions 0.92 of higher The Synchro 10 (Trafficware) software suite will be used to implement the HCM 6 analysis methodologies. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 16 4. Existing Conditions The Existing conditions scenario represent current study intersections and traffic volumes are analyzed and establishes the baseline traffic performance. 4.1 Existing Intersection Operations Table 4.1 summarizes the intersection performance during the AM and PM peak hour at Existing Conditions. Table 4.1: Existing Intersection Level of Service Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 16.1 B -19.2 B - 2 Higuera St / Nipomo St Signal E 14.9 B -14.9 B - 3 Marsh St / Nipomo St Signal E 12.1 B -12.7 B - 4 Marsh St / Broad St Signal E 15.4 B -15.8 B - 5 Higuera St / Broad St Signal E 15.7 B -16.2 B - 6 Higuera St / Chorro St Signal E 10.9 B -11.6 B - 7 Higuera St / Osos St Signal E 8.9 A -9.0 A - 8 Marsh St / Osos St Signal E 9.6 A -9.9 A - 9 Marsh St / Chorro St Signal E 16.9 B -17.3 B - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 48.8 D -37.3 D - 11 Higuera St to Morro St Signal E 18.6 B -18.6 B - 12 Marsh St / Morro St Signal E 11.0 B -11.7 B - 13 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 8.2 A -9.2 A - 14 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 13.2 B -13.7 B - Notes:1. LOS = Delay based on average of all approaches for AWSC, Signal, RNDBT 2. Bold = Unacceptable Conditions 3. OVR = Delay over 300 seconds Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS PM Peak HourAM Peak Hour # As presented in Table 4.1, all study intersections are currently found to operate at or above the target threshold LOS. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 17 4.2 Existing Roadway Operations Table 4.2 presents roadway facility characteristics and a summary of the Existing Plus Project segment operations. Table 4.2: Existing Roadway Level of Service #Segment Limits Divided Direction # of Lanes AADT LOS 1 Higuera Street Marsh Street to Nipomo Street Undivided West 2 10,561 B 2 Higuera Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided West 3 9,384 B 3 Higuera Street Broad Street to Chorro Street Undivided West 3 11,858 B 4 Higuera Street Chorro Street to Osos Street Undivided West 3 10,112 B 5 Higuera Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided West 3 8,841 B 6 Higuera Street Santa Rosa Street Toro Street Undivided West 3 5,069 B 7 Higuera Street Toro Street to Johnson Street Undivided West 2 4,321 B 8 Marsh Street Higuera Street to Nipomo Street Undivided East 3 10,878 B 9 Marsh Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided East 3 9,578 B 10 Marsh Street Broad Street to Osos Street Undivided East 3 10,823 B 11 Marsh Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided East 3 8,825 B 12 Marsh Street Santa Rosa Street to Johnson StreetUndivided East 3 4,463 B Urban (>5000 Population) Interupted Flow Arterial (Signalized)Exiting Segment AADT Volumes (2019) As presented in Table 4.2, the study roadway segments is currently operating at acceptable LOS. 4.3 Existing - Queue Operations Existing intersection queuing analysis focuses on the locations where queuing is most likely to occur along the study intersections. Table 4.3 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 4.3: Existing Conditions Queuing Analysis Existing Conditions - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 117 104 50 NBL 153 222 250 NBR 56 61 - SBL - SBR 42 75 - 89 Higuera St / Nipomo St SER 25 27 65 NWL 41 52 50 SWL 25 25 440 SWR 440 90 Marsh St / Nipomo St SEL 25 25 40 NWR - NEL +1000 NER +1000 96 Marsh St / Broad St SEL 25 25 45 NWR 25 36 90 NEL 440 NER 440 97 Higuera St / Broad St SER 25 25 70 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 18 NWL - SWL 615 SWR 615 99 Higuera St / Chorro St NBL 25 25 50 SBR 25 25 65 SWL 430 SWR 430 102 Higuera St / Osos St WBL 495 WBR 495 SER - NWL - 103 Marsh St / Osos St SEL 25 25 - NWR 33 43 100 NEL 340 NER 340 115 Marsh St / Chorro St NBR 25 25 75 SBL 52 56 75 NEL 600 NER 600 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL 25 25 75 NWR 75 NEL 88 154 +1000 NER 42 39 +1000 SWL 151 132 +1000 SWR 100 134 Higuera St to Morro St WBL 335 WBR 335 NBL - SBR 25 25 75 135 Marsh St / Morro St EBL 440 EBR 440 SEL - NWR - 154 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St WBL 550 WBR 550 NBL 25 25 100 SBR 34 35 - 155 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St EBL 68 75 490 EBR 25 25 490 SEL 25 25 75 NWR - Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 4.3 all the intersection queuing movements did not exceed the storage capacity except for the following intersections: • Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant eastbound traffic turning right movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. However, the right turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 19 • Higuera Street & Nipomo Street in the PM peak hour: Northwest bound traffic turning left exceeds the queue storage capacity by 2’, effectively utilizing the full capacity of the turning movement. Recommendations: Both intersections are at full queueing capacity, the City should actively monitor these locations and optimize signal timing frequently. 5. Project Description 5.1 Project Proposal Consistent with the Downtown Concept Plan, the paving project proposes removal of one auto travel lane on Marsh and Higuera in order to reduce illegal speeding and provide more street width for pedestrian and bicycle facilities, as well as existing and future parklets. These modifications would retain sufficient traffic capacity to accommodate existing and future auto traffic volumes. These plans would extend the current pilot lane reductions and bikeway enhancements on Higuera Street (Santa Rosa to Nipomo) to a permanent configuration. Existing pilot parklet installations will be retained and may become permanent pending City Council approval. Final designs will be refined based on community input. 6. Existing Plus Project Conditions The Existing Plus Project conditions presents traffic impacts after superimposing the additional increment traffic generated by the proposed project onto Existing traffic volumes, intersection lane geometrics, and controls. This scenario assumes no additional background development to occur beyond the proposed project. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 20 6.1 Existing Intersection Operations Table 6.1 presents a summary of the intersection operations for the weekday AM and PM peak hour scenarios for the Existing Plus Project Scenarios. Table 6.1: Existing Plus Project Intersection Level of Service Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 16.4 B -19.5 B - 2 Higuera St / Nipomo St Signal E 13.8 B -15.9 B - 3 Marsh St / Nipomo St Signal E 14.3 B -15.5 B - 4 Marsh St / Broad St Signal E 17.2 B -17.9 B - 5 Higuera St / Broad St Signal E 16.7 B -18.2 B - 6 Higuera St / Chorro St Signal E 9.5 A -13.0 B - 7 Higuera St / Osos St Signal E 10.2 B -10.1 B - 8 Marsh St / Osos St Signal E 4.2 A -11.5 B - 9 Marsh St / Chorro St Signal E 18.7 B -18.8 B - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 55.2 E -41.7 D - 11 Higuera St to Morro St Signal E 20.5 C -21.1 C - 12 Marsh St / Morro St Signal E 12.3 B -13.6 B - 13 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 56.1 E -20.9 C - 14 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 13.9 B -17.4 B - Notes: 2. Bold = Unacceptable Conditions 3. OVR = Delay over 300 seconds 1. LOS = Delay based on average of all approaches for AWSC, Signal, RNDBT Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS PM Peak HourAM Peak Hour # As presented in Table 6.1, all study intersections are projected to operate at or above the target threshold LOS. 6.2 Existing Plus Project Roadway Operations Table 6.2 presents roadway facility characteristics and a summary of the Existing Plus Project segment operations. Table 6.2: Existing Roadway Level of Service #Segment Limits Divided Direction # of Lanes AADT LOS 1 Higuera Street Marsh Street to Nipomo Street Undivided West 2 10,615 B 2 Higuera Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided West 2 9,064 B 3 Higuera Street Broad Street to Chorro Street Undivided West 2 10,864 B 4 Higuera Street Chorro Street to Osos Street Undivided West 2 8,947 B 5 Higuera Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided West 2 7,855 B 6 Higuera Street Santa Rosa Street Toro Street Undivided West 2 5,386 B 7 Higuera Street Toro Street to Johnson Street Undivided West 1 4,462 B 8 Marsh Street Higuera Street to Nipomo Street Undivided East 2 10,527 B 9 Marsh Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided East 2 9,178 B 10 Marsh Street Broad Street to Osos Street Undivided East 2 10,361 B 11 Marsh Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided East 2 8,864 B 12 Marsh Street Santa Rosa Street to Johnson StreetUndivided East 3 4,291 B Urban (>5000 Population) Interupted Flow Arterial (Signalized)Exiting plus Project Segment AADT Volumes (2019) GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 21 As presented in Table 6.2, the study roadway segments are projected to operate at acceptable LOS. 6.3 Existing plus Project - Queue Operations Existing plus Project intersection queuing analysis focuses on the locations where queuing is most likely to occur along the study intersections. Table 6.3 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 6.3: Existing plus Project Conditions Queuing Analysis Existing + Project - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 121 103 50 NBL 155 221 250 NBR 55 61 - SBL - SBR 42 75 - 89 Higuera St / Nipomo St SER 25 28 65 NWL 35 41 50 SWL 440 SWR 440 90 Marsh St / Nipomo St SEL 25 25 40 NWR - NEL +1000 NER +1000 96 Marsh St / Broad St SEL 25 27 45 NWR 25 28 90 NEL 440 NER 440 97 Higuera St / Broad St SER 25 25 70 NWL - SWL 615 SWR 615 99 Higuera St / Chorro St NBL 25 48 50 SBR 25 25 65 SWL 430 SWR 430 102 Higuera St / Osos St WBL 495 WBR 495 SER - NWL - 103 Marsh St / Osos St SEL 25 25 - NWR 26 44 100 NEL 340 NER 340 115 Marsh St / Chorro St NBR 25 25 75 SBL 55 57 75 NEL 600 NER 600 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 22 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL 25 25 75 NWR 75 NEL 88 154 +1000 NER 43 40 +1000 SWL 171 160 +1000 SWR 100 134 Higuera St to Morro St WBL 335 WBR 335 NBL - SBR 25 75 135 Marsh St / Morro St EBL 440 EBR 440 SEL - NWR - 154 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St WBL 550 WBR 550 NBL 27 31 100 SBR 45 37 155 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St EBL 490 EBR 490 SEL 25 25 75 NWR - Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 6.3 all the intersection queuing movements did not exceed the storage capacity except for the following intersection: 6. Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant eastbound traffic turning right movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. However, the right turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. Recommendations: This intersection is at full queueing capacity; the City should actively monitor these locations and optimize signal timing frequently. 6.4 Existing Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase Table 6.4 presents a summary of the intersection operations for the weekday AM and PM peak hour scenarios for the Existing Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase Scenario. Table 6.4: Existing Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 35.5 D -73.9 E - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 63.2 E -44.3 D - #Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour As presented in Table 6.4, both study intersections are projected to operate at or above the target threshold LOS. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 23 6.5 Existing Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase – Queue Operations Table 6.5 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections for Existing Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 6.5: Existing Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase Existing + Project (w/bicycle phase) - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 209 146 50 NBL2 223 286 250 NBR - SBL - SBR 262 849 - 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL2 25 25 75 NWR 34 75 NEL 80 141 +1000 NER2 41 36 +1000 SWL 157 148 +1000 SWR 100 Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 6.5, only Higuera Street & Marsh Street in both the AM and PM peak hour exceed storage capacity. The intersection had significant eastbound traffic turning right in the AM and PM peak hour and just slightly northbound traffic turning left in the PM peak hour. 6.6 Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Table 6.6 presents a summary of the intersection operations for the weekday AM and PM peak hour scenarios for the Existing Plus Project w/Alternative Protected Bike Signal Scenario. Table 6.6: Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 19.5 B -31.4 C - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 56.7 E -42.2 D - #Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour As presented in Table 6.6, both study intersections are projected to operate at or above the target threshold LOS. 6.7 Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal – Queue Operations Table 6.7 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections for Existing Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 24 Table 6.7: Existing Plus Project w/Alternative Bicycle Protected Phase Existing + Project (w/bicycle phase) - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 226 208 50 NBL 170 238 250 NBR 251 - SBL - SBR 172 666 - 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL 25 25 75 NWR 37 75 NEL 88 154 +1000 NER 264 179 +1000 SWL 171 160 +1000 SWR 50 100 Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 6.7, only Higuera Street & Marsh Street in both the AM and PM peak hour exceed storage capacity. However, the right turn turning movement is consolidated with the eastbound thru movements, EBR turns do not occlude or impact overall approach operations. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 25 7. Year 2040 Conditions Year 2040 conditions refer to an analysis scenario approximately 20 years in the future. For cumulative conditions GHD forecasted Cumulative and Cumulative + Project volumes based on a combination of the City’s Traffic Model and professional judgement. 7.1 Year 2040 No Project Conditions Table 7.1 summarizes the intersection performance during the AM and PM peak hour for projected Year 2040 No Project Conditions. Table 7.1: Year 2040 No Project Conditions Level of Service Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 33.0 C -44.9 D - 2 Higuera St / Nipomo St Signal E 16.0 B -18.2 B - 3 Marsh St / Nipomo St Signal E 14.0 B -13.9 B - 4 Marsh St / Broad St Signal E 17.6 B -18.3 B - 5 Higuera St / Broad St Signal E 18.4 B -21.4 C - 6 Higuera St / Chorro St Signal E 13.5 B -15.4 B - 7 Higuera St / Osos St Signal E 12.1 B -11.8 B - 8 Marsh St / Osos St Signal E 3.6 A -3.8 A - 9 Marsh St / Chorro St Signal E 3.5 A -3.1 A - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 17.5 B -26.7 C - 11 Higuera St to Morro St Signal E 19.1 B -20.8 C - 12 Marsh St / Morro St Signal E 13.0 B -13.9 B - 13 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 12.1 B -11.6 B - 14 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 14.5 B -15.1 B - Notes:1. LOS = Delay based on average of all approaches for AWSC, Signal, RNDBT 2. Bold = Unacceptable Conditions 3. OVR = Delay over 300 seconds Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS PM Peak HourAM Peak Hour # As presented in Table 7.1, all study intersections are expected to operate at or above the threshold LOS. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 26 7.2 Year 2040 No Project Roadway Operations Table 7.2 presents roadway facility characteristics and a summary of the Year 2040 No Project segment operations. Table 7.2: Year 2040 No Project Conditions Roadway Level of Service #Segment Limits Divided Direction # of Lanes AADT LOS 1 Higuera Street Marsh Street to Nipomo Street Undivided West 2 14,799 C 2 Higuera Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided West 3 12,982 B 3 Higuera Street Broad Street to Chorro Street Undivided West 3 14,164 C 4 Higuera Street Chorro Street to Osos Street Undivided West 3 12,795 B 5 Higuera Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided West 3 10,759 B 6 Higuera Street Santa Rosa Street Toro Street Undivided West 3 7,227 B 7 Higuera Street Toro Street to Johnson Street Undivided West 2 5,259 B 8 Marsh Street Higuera Street to Nipomo Street Undivided East 3 14,721 C 9 Marsh Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided East 3 13,141 B 10 Marsh Street Broad Street to Osos Street Undivided East 3 14,003 C 11 Marsh Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided East 3 10,854 B 12 Marsh Street Santa Rosa Street to Johnson Street Undivided East 3 6,902 B Cumulative Base AADT Volumes (2040) As presented in Table 7.2, the study roadway segments are projected to operate at acceptable LOS. 7.3 Year 2040 No Project - Queue Operations Year 2040 No Project intersection queuing analysis focuses on the locations where queuing is most likely to occur along the study intersections. Table 7.3 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 7.3: Year 2040 No Project Conditions Queuing Analysis Cumulative Conditions - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 462 173 50 NBL 262 489 250 NBR 212 214 - SBL - SBR 65 173 - 89 Higuera St / Nipomo St SER 25 29 65 NWL 129 177 50 SWL 25 25 440 SWR 440 90 Marsh St / Nipomo St SEL 58 86 40 NWR - NEL +1000 NER +1000 96 Marsh St / Broad St SEL 25 25 45 NWR 92 77 90 NEL 440 NER 440 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 27 97 Higuera St / Broad St SER 25 31 70 NWL - SWL 615 SWR 615 99 Higuera St / Chorro St NBL 25 25 50 SBR 87 94 65 SWL 430 SWR 430 102 Higuera St / Osos St WBL 495 WBR 495 SER - NWL - 103 Marsh St / Osos St SEL 33 33 - NWR 64 72 100 NEL 340 NER 340 115 Marsh St / Chorro St NBR 47 37 75 SBL 66 33 75 NEL 600 NER 600 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL 25 25 75 NWR 75 NEL 89 201 +1000 NER 34 59 +1000 SWL 33 35 +1000 SWR 100 134 Higuera St to Morro St WBL 335 WBR 335 NBL - SBR 49 52 75 135 Marsh St / Morro St EBL 440 EBR 440 SEL - NWR - 154 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St WBL 550 WBR 550 NBL 25 25 100 SBR 159 193 - 155 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St EBL 81 72 490 EBR 25 25 490 SEL 25 25 75 NWR - Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 7.3 all the intersection queuing movements did not exceed the storage capacity except for the following intersections: • Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant eastbound traffic turning right movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. Additionally, substantial northbound traffic turning left movement also exceeds the queue storage capacity. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 28 • Higuera Street & Nipomo Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant northwest bound traffic turning left movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. • Marsh Street & Nipomo Street in the AM peak hour: Southeast bound traffic turning left exceeds the queue storage capacity. • Marsh Street & Broad Street in the AM peak hour: Northwest bound traffic turning right narrowly exceeds the queue storage capacity. • Higuera Street & Chorro Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant southbound traffic turning right movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal on side streets for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 8. Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Year 2040 Plus Project conditions refer to an analysis scenario approximately 20 years in the future with project. Cumulative Plus Project volumes based on a combination of the City’s Traffic Model and professional judgement. 8.1 Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Table 8.1 summarizes the intersection performance during the AM and PM peak hour for projected Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions. Table 8.1: Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Level of Service Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 33.1 C -45.2 D - 2 Higuera St / Nipomo St Signal E 15.9 B -19.3 B - 3 Marsh St / Nipomo St Signal E 13.6 B -14.8 B - 4 Marsh St / Broad St Signal E 19.7 B -23.1 C - 5 Higuera St / Broad St Signal E 18.0 B -24.6 C - 6 Higuera St / Chorro St Signal E 14.8 B -20.5 C - 7 Higuera St / Osos St Signal E 15.7 B -14.8 B - 8 Marsh St / Osos St Signal E 6.0 A -3.9 A - 9 Marsh St / Chorro St Signal E 3.6 A -4.7 A - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 17.8 B -26.2 C - 11 Higuera St to Morro St Signal E 19.7 B -23.6 C - 12 Marsh St / Morro St Signal E 15.4 B -19.2 B - 13 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 40.9 D -11.4 B - 14 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St Signal E 13.6 B -16.5 B - Notes: 3. OVR = Delay over 300 seconds Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS PM Peak HourAM Peak Hour # 1. LOS = Delay based on average of all approaches for AWSC, Signal, RNDBT 2. Bold = Unacceptable Conditions As presented in Table 8.1, all study intersections are projected to operate at or above the target LOS threshold. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 29 8.2 Year 2040 Plus Project Roadway Operations Table 8.2 presents roadway facility characteristics and a summary of the Year 2040 Plus Project segment operations. Table 8.2: Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Roadway Level of Service #Segment Limits Divided Direction # of Lanes AADT LOS 1 Higuera Street Marsh Street to Nipomo Street Undivided West 2 14,607 C 2 Higuera Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided West 2 11,770 B 3 Higuera Street Broad Street to Chorro Street Undivided West 2 12,194 B 4 Higuera Street Chorro Street to Osos Street Undivided West 2 11,258 B 5 Higuera Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided West 2 9,330 B 6 Higuera Street Santa Rosa Street Toro Street Undivided West 2 6,986 B 7 Higuera Street Toro Street to Johnson Street Undivided West 1 4,935 B 8 Marsh Street Higuera Street to Nipomo Street Undivided East 2 13,834 B 9 Marsh Street Nipomo Street to Broad Street Undivided East 2 12,540 B 10 Marsh Street Broad Street to Osos Street Undivided East 2 12,673 B 11 Marsh Street Osos Street to Santa Rosa Street Undivided East 2 9,592 B 12 Marsh Street Santa Rosa Street to Johnson Street Undivided East 3 6,478 B Cumulative Base plus Project AADT Volumes (2040) As presented in Table 8.2, the study roadway segment is projected to operate at acceptable LOS. 8.3 Year 2040 Plus Project - Queue Operations Year 2040 Plus Project intersection queuing analysis focuses on the locations where queuing is most likely to occur along the study intersections. Table 8.3 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 8.3: Year 2040 Plus Project Conditions Queuing Analysis Cumulative + Project - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 471 175 50 NBL 263 501 250 NBR 203 215 - SBL - SBR 65 169 - 89 Higuera St / Nipomo St SER 25 32 65 NWL 134 208 50 SWL 23 25 440 SWR 440 90 Marsh St / Nipomo St SEL 53 83 40 NWR - NEL 195 175 200 NER +1000 96 Marsh St / Broad St SEL 25 25 45 NWR 94 66 90 NEL 440 NER 440 97 Higuera St / Broad St GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 30 SER 25 32 70 NWL - SWL 126 105 200 SWR 615 99 Higuera St / Chorro St NBL 25 25 50 SBR 73 98 65 SWL 430 SWR 430 102 Higuera St / Osos St WBL 495 WBR 495 SER - NWL - 103 Marsh St / Osos St SEL 25 25 - NWR 27 74 100 NEL 340 NER 340 115 Marsh St / Chorro St NBR 46 49 75 SBL 72 40 75 NEL 600 NER 600 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL 75 NWR 75 NEL 88 198 +1000 NER 34 59 +1000 SWL 33 36 +1000 SWR 100 134 Higuera St to Morro St WBL 25 25 200 WBR 25 25 200 NBL - SBR 35 54 75 135 Marsh St / Morro St EBL 440 EBR 440 SEL - NWR - 154 Higuera St / Santa Rosa St WBL 550 WBR 550 NBL 30 25 100 SBR - 155 Marsh St / Santa Rosa St EBL 490 EBR 490 SEL 25 25 75 NWR - Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity Bold = Lane Improvement As presented in Table 8.3 all the intersection queuing movements did not exceed the storage capacity except for the following intersections: • Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Substantial eastbound traffic turning right movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. Additionally, substantial northbound traffic turning left movement also exceeds the queue storage capacity. GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 31 • Higuera Street & Nipomo Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant northwest bound traffic turning left movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. • Marsh Street & Nipomo Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Considerable southeast bound traffic turning left movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. • Marsh Street & Broad Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Considerable northwest bound traffic turning right movement narrowly exceeds the queue storage capacity. • Higuera Street & Chorro Street in the AM and PM peak hour: Significant southbound traffic turning right movement exceeds the queue storage capacity. Recommendation: Consider future parking removal on side streets for installation of TWLTL and upgrading signal controls in the downtown core to an adaptive system. 8.4 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase Table 8.4 presents a summary of the intersection operations for the weekday AM and PM peak hour scenarios for the Year 2040 Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase Scenario. Table 8.4: Year 2040 Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 71.2 E -139.1 F - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 35.2 D -28.3 C - #Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour As presented in Table 8.4, only the intersection of Marsh Street & Johnson Street is projected to operate at or above the target threshold LOS. The intersection of Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the PM peak hour is projected to experience LOS F, not operating at or above the target threshold. 8.5 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase – Queue Operations Table 8.5 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections for Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Bicycle Scramble Phase. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 8.5: Year 2040 Plus Project w/Bicycle Scramble Phase Cum + Project (w/bicycle phase) - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 668 212 50 NBL2 328 650 250 NBR 169 185 - SBL - SBR 489 1036 - 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL2 75 NWR 75 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 32 NEL 121 184 +1000 NER2 25 57 +1000 SWL 40 35 +1000 SWR 100 Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 8.5, Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak exceeds the storage capacity. There is substantial eastbound traffic movement turning right and significant northbound traffic movement turning left, exceeding the queue storage capacity. Recommendation: A Bicycle Scramble Phase at Marsh & Higuera locations is not recommended under cumulative conditions without other significant intersection and corridor improvements. 8.6 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Table 8.6 presents a summary of the intersection operations for the weekday AM and PM peak hour scenarios for the Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Scenario. Table 8.6: Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 Delay LOS Warrant Met?3 1 Higuera St / Marsh St Signal E 80.1 F -123.3 F - 10 Marsh St / Johnson St Signal E 17.8 B -26.8 C - #Intersection Control Type1,2 Target LOS AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour As presented in Table 8.6, only the intersection of Marsh Street & Johnson Street is projected to operate at or above the target threshold LOS. The intersection of Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak hour is projected to experience LOS F, operating below the target threshold. 8.7 Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal – Queue Operations Table 8.7 presents the 95th percentile queuing analysis for the weekday AM and PM peak hours at the study intersections for Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Scenario. Approach orientation description was listed as coded in the Synchro file provided by the City. Table 8.7: Year 2040 Plus Project w/ Alternative Protected Bike Signal Cum + Project (w/bicycle phase) - Queuing Analysis (95th %) AM Peak PM Peak Storage Capacity 84 Higuera St / Marsh St EBR 734 271 50 NBL 263 501 250 NBR 812 831 - SBL - SBR 334 806 - 124 Marsh St / Johnson St SEL2 75 NWR 75 NEL 121 198 +1000 GHD | Downtown Lane Reduction: Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final | Page 33 NER 84 212 +1000 SWL 33 36 +1000 SWR 49 100 Notes: Bold = Overall Segment Length Bold = Exceeds Storage Capacity As presented in Table 8.7, Higuera Street & Marsh Street in the AM and PM peak exceeds the storage capacity. There is substantial eastbound traffic movement turning right and significant northbound traffic movement turning left, exceeding the queue storage capacity. However, this would only occur during bicycle activations. Recommendation: With conditional bike phase programming these intersections would function adequately during cycles without bicycle activation. However, during phases with Bicycle Activation Higuera & Marsh would operate below City level of Service Thresholds and queueing would exceed capacities. 9. Overall Findings The proposed lane reductions in the Downtown Core would not cause congestions levels to exceed City level of service thresholds under both current and future conditions. Higuera & Marsh and Marsh & Nipomo are currently at queueing capacity for particular movements with or without the proposed land reduction. In general, downtown queueing under cumulative conditions is projected to exceed block lengths on most side street approaches to the Higuera & Marsh segments. This will occur with or without the proposed project. There are limited solutions given the short block lengths; some options the City may consider is future on-street parking removal for the installation of Two-Way Left Turn Lanes or upgrading to an adaptive signal system in the downtown core. A bicycle scramble operation would operate within level of service thresholds at both locations under current conditions. However, a bicycle scramble at Marsh & Higuera would exceed level of service thresholds at some point between now and projected buildout of the City. Therefore, a bicycle scramble is not recommended at Marsh & Higuera without other significant intersection or corridor improvements. The City’s Mid-Higuera and downtown concept plans contemplates widening and roundabout controls at Higuera & Marsh, including Class I circulating lanes around such a roundabout would be an effective solution for this location. Protected Bicycle Phasing operation would also operate within level of service thresholds at both locations under current conditions. However, protected bicycle phasing at Marsh & Higuera would also exceed level of service thresholds at some point between now and projected buildout of the City. Therefore, protected bicycle phasing is not recommended at Marsh & Higuera without other significant intersection or corridor improvements. The City’s Mid-Higuera and downtown concept plans contemplates widening and roundabout controls at Higuera & Marsh, including Class I circulating lanes around such a roundabout would be an effective solution for this location. Downtown Auto Lane Reduction Traffic Analysis Report | 11221884-TIAR001Final |