HomeMy WebLinkAbout07-01-2014 ph1 Jud COUNCIL MEETING O`1 1°' 1 I y
ITEM NO P 1.1 t
E,-)L
LUCE
July 2014, E Jud
RECEIVED
JUL 0 2 2014
1. Know the Present and Future Possibilities! SLO CITY CLERK
Aggregate Vehide-Miles Traveled in the United States under Several
Scenanos of Future Travel Growth 19462040
5.000 000
i
4.500.000 •-
4.000.000 i�--
C3-500000
i
••�3,000,000 -- • `\
i' 2,500.000
0
a flack m the ru[ure
� 2.000,000 -
y o Enduring 4hR
I.S00 000
� mOed4r
1.000.000
�IYLav
500.000 ... Cotumiawn at 1946
2007 trend
0 g g
a � am a�w+ mmma � ., c a .mi n .ev r�.t ASA.
� � aQsaas � s
Source US Public Interest Research Group (PIRG),an Independent agency Publication "A New
Direction" May 2013 http //uspirs ors/sites/pdrs/files/reports/A%20New%20Direction%20vUS pdf
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2. Visualize the Future! (Do your own thinking@)
e g. Population and Job Growth +17 Traff. Demand Managemt -17%
I• A/ �-11.�.Jl�
Impact
e.g. on VMT(Vehicle Miles Traveled)
Population X lifestyles
People Car Oriented or
Ped Bike Oriented
Age Owning Stuff vs
Just Renting
Sex American Dream
vs "Uwng Ught"
Workplaces
Jud,June 2014
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3. Admit Inaccuracies!
An educated public expects that (e g bell curve)
Which is the more honest diagram?
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2-o3s LON Z S
Work on your credibility)
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4. Make your Assumptions Radically Transparent!
Basic input into the transportation model is a political decision (not
technical') and has consequences of millions of dollars Did Council
decide on that?
Traffic Model- Three pages of explanations should be in EIR E g
- Trip generation (done well by Publ Works; Thanks) O
- Lifestyle changes of younger public included?
- Different traffic demand management measures analyzed how?
- Does the model know the slogan "Build it, and they will come"?
(Induced traffic, rebound effect)
- Now that we have the model, will we simulate "politically incorrect"
transportation networks too? (It's cheap, see industry and military)
Summary
SLO still has tremendous POSSIBILITIES in sustainable mobility (even
abroad) but the PROBABILITIES of success are another question today.
THANKS!
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