HomeMy WebLinkAbout09/07/2010, C3 - ISSUANCE OF PENSION OBLIGATION BONDS council M"fi`D ° 9
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CITY O F SAN LUIS O B I S P O
FROM: Mary Bradley, Interim Director of Finance &Information Technology
Prepared By: Debbie Malicoat, Finance Manager
SUBJECT: ISSUANCE OF PENSION OBLIGATION BONDS
RECOMMENDATION
Receive and file status report on issuance of pension obligation bonds for the City's Public
Safety"side fund".
DISCUSSION
Background
On June 1, 2010 the Council received a report regarding the issuance of pension obligation bonds
for the City's Safety Plan "side fund" obligations to the California Public Employees Retirement
System (CalPERS) and authorized the issuance of a request for proposals (RFP) for underwriting
services. The results of that RFP concluded in selecting Wedbush Securities as the underwriter
for these bonds. Wedbush will join the financing team composed of the City's financial advisor
(Fieldman Rolapp), bond counsel (Jones Hall) and an independent actuary that the City has used
in the past for actuarial analyses (Bartel Associates).
As discussed in the June 1, 2010 report, the sale of pension obligation bonds in funding the
City's Safety Plan "side fund"has the potential to result in cost savings. With the financing team
in place, staff began several due diligence steps in assessing the financial feasibility of issuing
these bonds.
"Side Fund" Investment Yield and the Potential for Cost Savings
Under CalPERS regulations, the "side fund" currently earns an investment yield of 7.75%
regardless of the performance of the CalPERS overall portfolio (higher or lower). This return
represents a long-term cost savings with virtually no risk if pension obligation bonds can be sold
at a lower rate than the current 7.75%yield on the"side fund."
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In the June 1, 2010 staff report, the investment yield was presented as "guaranteed" because that
was the information staff had at the time. Since then, staff learned that the investment yield on
the side funds is not guaranteed by CalPERS; the yield will change if CalPERS' overall actuarial
yield assumptions change. CalPERS is currently reviewing its actuarial assumption for earnings
and it is believed the yield for the side fund could be lowered by as much as 0.50%. However, it
is unlikely that the CalPERS Board will have a final decision on yield assumptions until early
2011, and this change in investment yield assumption would impact the financial feasibility of
the pension obligation bonds.
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Status of Pension Obligation Bonds Page 2
The City's current "side fund" unfunded liability is $24 million and has 24 years remaining
before it is fully amortized. An initial analysis shows that at current market rates, the net interest
rate on pension obligation bonds (which would be sold as taxable bonds)would be about 6.75%.
The 100 basis-point difference between the current Ca1PERS yield and interest costs on the
bonds would result in General Fund savings of about $220,000 annually, or$5.2 million over the
24-year life of the issue. Recognizing that $220,000 in annual savings 24 years from now does
not have the same value as $220,000 in annual savings today, the "present value" (PV) analysis
results in $2.5 million in savings; or PV savings of 10.6%. For context, the City's Budget and
Fiscal Policies indicate the City should refinance bonds whenever the PV savings are 5% or
more: this is potentially twice that level.
Uncertainty in the Market
Given staff's opinion that Ca1PERS is likely to reduce the interest rate assumptions, the financing
team has calculated the savings to the City with several different interest rate scenarios. This
exercise revealed that a slight change in the Ca1PERS rate would yield significantly less savings
over the 24-year term. For example, if the Ca1PERS rate drops just 25 basis-points, to 7.50%, the
savings are reduced by half, to $2.6 million, which has a PV of 4.9%. If the rate drops by 50
basis-points, the savings is about $1.3 million over the 24-year term and has a PV of 2.7%.
Under these scenarios, staff does not recommend issuing these bonds.
However, there are potential scenarios that might make it advantageous to the City to issue bonds
for the side fund. There are two factors that make debt financings challenging: time and
uncertainty (risk). The more time involved or the more uncertainty involved, the higher the
interest cost of borrowing. During the 24-year life of these bonds there is a high degree of
uncertainty about the Ca1PERS interest assumptions, which have a direct.impact on the financial
feasibility of the bonds. For example, if the City were to issue shorter-term bonds to pay the side
fund obligations, higher savings would be realized. Staff is exploring several alternatives to a
24-year bond term, including a phased approach that would take advantage of the lower
borrowing rates for shorter-term bonds. The financing team continues to work diligently to come
up with solutions and alternatives that are in the best interest of the City in both the short-term
and the long-term.
Next Steps
The financing team will continue to monitor the financial market and CaIPERS' investment
assumptions closely. In addition, staff will continue working with CalPERS to explore options
that might make shorter-term financing possible. These actions could result in a situation where
issuing bonds becomes financially feasible; in which case, staff would return to Council for
authorization to issue bonds. In short, the staff recommends deferring action at thistime.
CONCURRENCES
The Human Resources Department concurs with this recommendation.
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Status of Pension Obligation Bonds Page 3
FISCAL IMPACT
There is no fiscal impact to deferring the issuance of bonds. Potential savings would not be
realized unless the City were able to issue bonds for a term shorter than the 24-year amortization
period of the"side fund,"or borrowing costs reduced substantially.
ALTERNATIVES
Direct staff to issue pension obligation bonds. Given the current borrowing costs associated
with a 24-year bond term and the likelihood of an adjustment to the Ca1PERS investment yield, it
is not anticipated that savings will be generated that are in compliance with the City's policies for
refunding of debt, therefore, this option is not recommended.
T:\Council Agenda Reports\Finance&IT CAR\Finance\2010\POB status,9-7-10.doc
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From: Brett Cross[SMTP:BRETTCROSS@YAHOO.COMI RECEIVED
Sent: Tuesday, September 07, 2010 4:20:55 PM SEP 0 a 2010
To: Council, SloCity
Subject: Consent Items C-3 and
Auto forwarded by a Rule SLO CITY CLERK
I have a birthday dinner I need to attend and it is probably is more fun than going to the
council meeting anyway,but I'd like to comment on two items on the consent agenda.
One, is item C-3 Issuance of Pension Obligation Bonds. Isn't there some old adage that
goes something like, "if it sounds too good to be true it probably is". I find it hard to
believe that intelligent individuals could believe that the City could borrow funds for
somewhere around 6 3/4%and then get a guaranteed return of 7 3/4%therefore earning
I%on the "spread". The "markets" are much more efficient than that and if it was that
easy everyone would be doing it. I'm pretty concerned about how and why it took some
more due diligence to find out that maybe,just maybe, Ca1PERS couldn't guarantee that
return. Who gave staff that information?.
Two is item C-4, Santa Rosa Park Restroom Replacement. How much was RRM paid
for architectural and construction documents for the project?. Because I'm not sure.
Please tell me it wasn't $50,000. Because if it was the City should ask the Federal
government for stimulus money because that is a lot of money to design a restroom. And
budgeting$60,000 for construction management. So far the budgeted costs for non
construction related expenditures looks to 1/3 the total cost of the actual bricks and
mortar project. There is some discussion later about not using all of the construction
management budget but regardless those cost both architecture and construction
management are obscene. And I know the staff provided an analysis of site built vs pre-
fab but that report lacked a lot-actual figures from prefab manufacturers. Mostly a
discussion about transporting the pieces and something about Federal standards- some
hoowee like that. You as council members should have been much more suspect and
critical of that report than you were.
Sincerely,
Brett Cross
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