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HomeMy WebLinkAbout12-15-2015 Item 14 - 2015 Water Resources Status Report Meeting Date: 12/15/2015 FROM: Carrie Mattingly, Utilities Director Prepared By: Aaron Floyd, Water Division Manager Jennifer Metz, Utilities Projects Manger Ron Munds, Utilities Services Manager SUBJECT: 2015 WATER RESOURCES STATUS REPORT RECOMMENDATION Receive and file the 2015 Water Resources Status Report. DISCUSSION The 2015 Water Resources Status Report (Attachment A) provides an overview and update of the City’s water resources. These reports have been provided to the City Council and community since 1985 and serve to both inform future policy decisions as well as provide historical documentation of existing water conditions. 2015 Water Year Summary Potable Water Use 4,988 acre feet Recycled Water Use 168 acre feet Per Capita Demand Per Day 97.3 gallons* Per Capita Demand - 10 year running average 114.4 gallons Water Projection Model as of November 30, 2015 3.5 years Water Resource Availability (planning data) Primary Water Supply Reliability Reserve Secondary Water Supply 10,005 acre feet 7,330 acre feet 1,174 acre feet 1,501 acre feet * As a comparison, water demand in 2014 was 108.5 gallons per person per day. The reduction to 97.3 gallons per person per day amounts to a 10 percent decrease in one year. Change in Reporting Period Beginning this year, the reporting period has changed from the calendar year to the “water year”; a timeframe from October 1 through September 30. This will cover the timeframe in which rainfall typically occurs in our region and is consistent with other water reporting periods. The water year is designated by the calendar year in which it ends. This report covers water year 2015. 14 Packet Pg. 130 Response to Drought Following the Governor’s Executive order in April 2015, the State Water Board adopted mandatory reductions with the City’s required reduction at 12 percent. The community has done a laudable job in meeting the mandated reductions and has continued to demonstrate its commitment to resource conservation and stewardship. As the drought continues into its fifth year, both the State and the City have taken increasing actions to encourage water conservation through active outreach regarding the importance of water conservation continue. Efforts made by the City in 2015 have included hosting a community water forum, offering rebates and free water saving fixtures, and numerous site visits to assist concerned residents. City staff aimed for a 17% reduction during warmer months in which irrigation typically occurs to offset the lower reductions anticipated during winter months in order to achieve the cumulative 12% reduction for the period from June 2015 to end of February 2016. The following table is a summary of the water use reduction, compared to 2013, which demonstrates the community’s success in reaching this goal. Water Use Reduction from 2013 Month Percent Reduction June 20 July 26 August 25 September 19 October 19 Cumulative 22.6 Recycled Water Recycled water use for calendar year 2014 totaled 185 acre feet, up seven per cent from 177 acre feet in 2013. The recycled water use for water year 2015 was 168 acre feet. Corporation Yard Well As part of the drought response strategy adopted by City Council in June, the use of the Corporation Yard well located on Prado Road was brought under a permit system. Water use was curtailed to only allow non-construction use within the San Luis Obispo groundwater basin. This change has had the effect of generating 40 permit users for the Corporation Yard well as well as increasing the number of recycled water permits for construction from 9 to 37 and a corresponding increase in recycled water use for construction from 6 acre feet in 2014 to over 13 acre feet in 2015. Water Modeling The city uses two models to assist in water management. The first is the Water Projection Model which is used to predict the City’s current water availability. This model was updated to include data on rainfall, evaporation, stream inflow, future population growth, and downstream releases from the 2012-14 time period to more accurately reflect the impacts of the drought on reservoir 14 Packet Pg. 131 levels. Based on this analysis, the model indicated the City had approximately a three and a half year supply of water as of November 2015. The second model used is the Safe Annual Yield Model. This model defines the annual amount of water available from Salinas and Whale Rock Reservoirs when operated in a coordinated manner. Water from Nacimiento Reservoir is accounted for independently and not part of the Safe Annual Yield Model since it is a contracted amount of water delivered on an annual basis. The current combined Safe Annual Yield for Salinas and Whale Rock Reservoirs is 6,940 acre feet per year. Since it is unknown how long the drought will last, model updates used hypothetical precipitation scenarios for the upcoming rain season. The results of these model runs showed that a relatively normal rainfall year would not impact the Safe Annual Yield; however, a continued drought will negatively impact the Safe Annual Yield from these two water sources. Outlook for 2016 Work continues on several projects that will impact the City’s future water status. In September of this year, City Council authorized the signing of the letter of intent to pursue an additional allocation of over 2,100 acre feet of water from Nacimiento Reservoir. In early 2016, City Council will consider taking further action related to Nacimiento water resources. The City’s Urban Water Management Plan and Recycled Water Master Plan will be updated in 2016. Lastly, meteorologists have predicted, and City staff have prepared for, a major El Nino event associated with an above- normal rainfall season. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW This report does not meet the definition of a “project” under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). FISCAL IMPACT There are no fiscal impacts associated with the recommended action. Attachments: a a - 2015 Water Resources Status Report 14 Packet Pg. 132 CITY OF SAN LUIS OBISPO 2015 Water Resources Status Report This Report Covers the Time Period of October 1, 2014 through September 30, 2015 Salinas Reservoir Dam, February 2015. Photo credit: County of San Luis Obispo. PREPARED BY: Ron Munds, Utilities Services Manager Jennifer Metz, Utilities Projects Manager Aaron Floyd, Utilities Deputy Director-Water 14.a Packet Pg. 133 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 2 The Water Resources Status Report updates the City Council and community on existing water resources. This report focuses on seven main areas: I. Drought II. Water Supply III. Projected Water Supply IV. Water Demand V. Water Resource Availability VI. Water Supply Accounting VII. Water Demand Management The 2015 Water Resources Status Report includes water production and water consumption data for October 1, 2014 through September 30, 2015 and was prepared in accordance with the City’s General Plan, Water and Wastewater Management Element (WWME), Policy A5.3.1. Historically, data provided in the Water Resources Status Report reflected on the preceding calendar year. Starting with this report, the Report corresponds to the Water Year (October 1 through September 30), the 12-month period for which precipitation totals are measured. This change enables the City to better report on water supply availability issues. I. DROUGHT The statewide drought has continued and is now well into the fourth year. Governor Brown declared a drought emergency on January 17, 2014 and, as part of the response, directed the State Water Resources Control Board (State Water Board) to draft water conservation regulations to respond to the emergency. The State Water Board adopted regulations prohibiting water waste in July 2014, and issued directives to reduce water use statewide. In response to the continuing drought conditions, the State Water Board extended the 2014 emergency regulations and added new measures on March 17, 2015. On April 1, 2015, the Governor issued Executive Order B-29-15 mandating increased enforcement against water waste and declared a statewide water use reduction goal of 25 percent. This action was followed by the State Water Board adopting regulations that require specific water purveyors to reduce water use in a range of 8 to 36 percent compared to their 2013 water usage . The amount of the mandated reduction is dependent on the water purveyor’s per capita use in 2013. The City’s required reduction is 12 percent. The following is a summary of the City’s progress of reaching this goal. 14.a Packet Pg. 134 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 3 2015 Reduction from 2013 June 20% July 26% August 25% September 19% October 19% The community has done an outstanding job in reducing water consumption in response to the new regulations and the city is on target to meet the State’s requirement. LOCAL RESPONSE STRATEGY The impacts of the 1987-1991 drought enculturated a strong water conservation ethic in San Luis Obispo along with an urgency to develop new water supply sources. The current statewide drought brought about unprecedented regulatory action from the State of California which resulted in a mandatory average 12 percent reduction in water use from June 2015 to February 2016, when compared with 2013 water use numbers. To achieve this mandate, the City Council adopted a drought response strategy in June 2015. This strategy includes: 1. Adoption of a resolution declaring a drought emergency; 2. Adoption of a resolution to defer new landscape installation or the use of modified landscape plans during the drought emergency; 3. Introduction of an ordinance amending Chapter 13.07 of the City’s Municipal Code to include two-day-a-week and time-of-day restrictions for outdoor watering; 4. Approval of an incentive program for high efficiency toilets and washing machines; and 5. Adoption of a resolution establishing a permit fee for the use of the Cor poration Yard groundwater well. This strategy relies on active enforcement of water waste prohibitions, with a core focus on providing information and resources to the public Nacimiento Reservoir Dam, February 2015. Photo credit: County of San Luis Obispo. 14.a Packet Pg. 135 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 4 II. WATER SUPPLY Per WWME Policy A2.2.1, the city uses multiple water sources to meet its water supply needs. The city has four primary water supply sources including Whale Rock Reservoir, Salinas Reservoir, Nacimiento Reservoir, and recycled water (for landscape irrigation and construction water), with groundwater serving as a fifth supplemental source. The supply per source for Water Year 2015 (October 1, 2014 to September 30, 2015) is summarized as follows: 2015 City Water Supply by Source (Acre Feet) Salinas Whale Rock* Nacimiento Groundwater Recycled Total Water Demand 1,122 1,718 1,891 89 168 4,988 23% 34% 38% 2% 3% 100% Notes: All Values are rounded. *Water delivered to Cal Poly State University is excluded from the City’s water demand. SALINAS & WHALE ROCK RESERVOIRS Salinas and Whale Rock Reservoirs have served as the city’s primary water supplies for over 50 years. The City pays the County of San Luis Obispo Flood Control and Water Conservation District (County) to provide oversight, operations, and maintenance of the Salinas Dam and related water delivery facilities. The City of San Luis Obispo provides the oversight, operations, and maintenance of the Whale Rock Reservoir for the benefit of the Whale Rock Commission, a joint powers agency made up of Cal Poly State University, California Men’s Colony, and the City. The city draws water from these two reservoirs to maximize the long-term water supply available from these two sources. In addition, the city has in a coordinated manner adopted policies in the WWME to account for reductions in storage capacity at each lake resulting from siltation. NACIMIENTO WATER PROJECT Water deliveries from the Nacimiento Reservoir began on January 5, 2011. The City has a contractual right to 3,380 acre feet per year. The county operates and maintains the project that delivers water from Nacimiento Reservoir to participating agencies (currently the cities of Paso Robles and San Luis Obispo, Atascadero Mutual Water Company, Templeton Community Whale Rock Reservoir, February 2015. Photo credit: County of San Luis Obispo. 14.a Packet Pg. 136 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 5 Services District, and County Service Area 10A [Cayucos]). The Nacimiento Project Commission, which is made up of representatives from each of the four agencies’ governing boards and a County Representative (who is a member of the County Board of Supervisors which also sits as the Board of Directors for the Flood Control District), provides oversight to project operations, maintenance, and the project budget. The Nacimiento pipeline was shut down on June 2, 2014 for emergency repairs and was offline for the remainder of 2014 , with flow being reinstated in April of 2015. RECYCLED WATER Recycled water use for 2014 totaled 185 acre feet, up five percent from 177 acre feet in 2013. For the 2015 Water Year, the City delivered 168 acre feet of recycled water. GROUNDWATER The City stopped supplying groundwater to its drinking water system in April 2015. Due to new regulatory requirements, using the groundwater would require additional costly treatment at the wells before the water could be used. Groundwater wells remain in operable stand-by condition should use of groundwater be required in the future . Pe r WWME Policy A 3.2.3, the Cit y does not consider groundwater a source of supply due to limitation s on its use. Cit y wells are summarized below: Well Type Use Location Pacific Beach #1 Potable Domestic Los Osos Valley Road near Pacific Beach School Corp Yard Well Non-potable Construction Water City Corporation Yard Prado Road Laguna Lake Golf Course Non-potable Irrigation Laguna Lake Golf Course on LOVR SLO City Farm Non-potable Irrigation SLO Community Farm off Highway 101 & LOVR Note: The City discontinued domestic groundwater use in 2015. 14.a Packet Pg. 137 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 6 43% 25% 21% 11% Single Family Residential Uses Multi-Family Residential Uses Non-Residential Uses Landscape Irrigation III. PROJECTED WATER SUPPLY The City uses a computer model to estimate its future reservoir storage in Salinas and Whale Rock Reservoirs. This is accomplished by applying historical drought, weather patterns, water use projections, reservoir data, and available water supplies from Nacimiento Reservoir, and recycled water. The model assumes implementation of Stage I conservation measures when supplies are projected to last three years. Stage II and III conservation measures are implemented when water supplies are estimated to last two years and one year, respectively. In December 2014 the model predicted water supplies would last six years. In early 2015, the model was updated to include the new worst case drought information (climatic data for 2012, 2013, and 2014). The model indicates the City has approximately a three year supply of water as of September 2015. IV. WATER DEMAND During Water Year 2015, 68 percent of water use in the City was for single and multi-family residential uses. Historical water use is summarized below, as well as corresponding population, per capita use rate, and precipitation. The 2015 per capita water use was 97.3 gallons per capita per day (gpcd). Based on WWME policies, the City uses the ten -year gpcd average to project water required to serve build-out population. The ten-year average water use is 114.4 gpcd. 14.a Packet Pg. 138 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 7 Population, Water Use & Rainfall Year Population Total Water Use (acre feet) Per Capita (gpcd) Rainfall1,2,3 (inches) 2006 44,559 5,999 120.2 17.2 2007 44,433 6,493 130.5 12.7 2008 44,579 6,359 127.3 18.1 2009 44,829 6,134 122.2 18.9 2010 44,948 5,489 109.0 36.0 2011 45,418 5,285 103.9 18.9 2012 45,308 5,541 109.2 21.5 2013 45,541 5,892 115.5 3.8 2014 45,473 5,524 108.5 14.2 2015 45,802 4,990 97.3 11.8 Ten-year per capita average: 114.4 Notes: 1. Rai nfa ll amou nts for 2005 –2012 cal endar year source: Cal Poly CIMIS W eather Statio n. 2. Rai nfa ll amou nt fo r calendar year 2013-2015: SLO Reservoir. 3. Rainfall for 2015 covers October 2014 through September 2015 V. WATER RESOURCE AVAILABILITY The following table summarizes the Water Resource Availability to serve the community water demand based on WWME Section 3. Water availability for 2015 is 10,005 acre feet. 2015 Water Resource Availability Water Resource Acre Feet Description Salinas & Whale Rock Reservoirs 6,940 Safe Annual Yield 1 Nacimiento Reservoir 3,380 Dependable Yield 2 Recycled Water 185 2014 Annual Usage 3 Siltation from 2010 to 2060 (500) WWME Policy A 4.2.2 4 10,005 2015 Annual Availability NOTES: 1. Safe Annual Yield determined from computer model, which accounts for siltation loss through 2010 (per WWME Policy A 4.2.1). 2. Dependable Yield is the contractual amount of water the City has rights to from Nacimiento Reservoir. 3. The quantity of recycled water included is the actual prior year’s recycled water usage (calendar year 2014) per WWME Policy A 7.2.2. 4. Reservoir siltation is a natural occurrence that reduces storage capacity over long periods, resulting in the reduction of safe annual yield. 14.a Packet Pg. 139 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 8 VI. WATER SUPPLY ACCOUNTING Per WWME Section 5, the City will account for water supplies necessary to meet three specific community needs: 1. Primary water supply 2. Reliability reserve 3. Secondary water supply The primary water supply is defined as the amount of water needed to serve the build-out population of the City as identified in the Land Use Element of the General Plan. Table 3 in the Land Use Element identifies an urban reserve capacity of 57,200 people. The quantity of water needed for the primary water supply is calculated using the ten -year average of actual per capita water use, shown in Table 2, and the population of 57,200 (2014 LUCE). Per WWME Policy A 5.2.2: Primary Water Supply: = Ten Year Average per Capita Water Use x City Build-out Population = 114.4 gal/cap-day x 57,200 x 365 day/year x Acre-Ft/325,853 gal = 7,330 Acre-Ft/year The reliability reserve provides a buffer for future unforeseen or unpredictable long -term impacts to the City’s available water supply. The quantity of water for the reliability reserve is established using 20 percent of the ten-year average of per capita water use and the existing City population (45,802, 2015 population). The reliability reserve concept is included in the City’s Charter (Section 909) which identifies that the water may not be used to serve future development, and is defined per WWME Policy A 5.2.3: Reliability Reserve: = Ten Year Average per Capita Water Use x 2014 City Population x 20% = 114.4 gal/cap-day x 45,802 cap x 365 day/year x Acre-Ft/325,853 gal x 20% = 1,174 Acre-Ft/year 14.a Packet Pg. 140 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) City of San Luis Obispo 2015 Water Resources Status Report 9 The secondary water supply is the amount of water remaining from the City’s available water resources above those needed to meet the primary water supply and reliability reserve. The secondary supply is identified to meet peak water demand periods or short -term loss of City water supply sources, per WWME Policy A 5.2.4: Secondary Water Supply: = Current Annual Availability – Primary Water Supply – Reliability Reserve = 10,005 Acre-Ft/year A – 7,484 acre-Ft/year – 1,190 Acre-Ft/year = 1,501 Acre-Ft/year A 2015 Annual Availability Water supply accounting is summarized as follows: 2015 Water Supply Accounting (acre feet) Total Primary Water Supply Reliability Reserve Secondary Water Supply 10,005 7,330 1,174 1,501 VII. WATER DEMAND MANAGEMENT The City’s water conservation program is an integral part of its overall water management strategy. In the late 1980’s, the City implemented effective water efficiency programs and policies that allowed for continued community growth and economic development during water-constrained periods. Through strong conservation efforts, the community has reduced its annual average per capita water use from over 180 gallons in 1987 to 97 for the 2015 Water Year. REGIONAL COOPERATION Beyond the involvement in the Nacimiento Water Project, the City is a participating member of the Water Resources Advisory Council and Regional Water Management Group, which promotes collaborative, integrated management of water resources within San Luis Obispo County and provides policy recommendations to the County Board of Supervisors. In addition, the City participates in the Paso Robles Groundwater Basin Advisory Committee and the regional water conservation group Partners in Water Conservation. 14.a Packet Pg. 141 At t a c h m e n t : a - 2 0 1 5 W a t e r R e s o u r c e s S t a t u s R e p o r t ( 1 1 9 8 : W a t e r R e s o u r c e S t a t u s R e p o r t ) Water Resources Status Report Reporting Period Water Year Consistency Drought Response Month Percent Reduction June 20 July 26 August 25 September 19 October 19 Cumulative 22.6 17% Reservoir Levels •Rainfall Naci Pipeline Recycled Water 108 gpcd 97 gpcd = 2015 Fiscal Impacts Revenue 33% of Year / 38% Budget Collected Drought Surcharge Drought Response Budget Temporary Employee 54 Rebates Over 2,000 Water Saving Devices Non Potable Water Use Corporation Yard Well Total Permits 40 Inside City 23 Outside City 17 Recycled Water - Construction 2014 2015 9 Permits 37 Permits 6 Acre Feet 17 Acre Feet Recycled Water Year 2013 2014 2015 Acre Feet 177 185 188 Water Quality Groundwater <2% Ceased in April Availability Disinfection By-Products August & November Below Limits Actions El Niño Local DCPP 3.64” This Season 3.60” Average Season 2016 Nacimiento Full Allocation Urban Water Management Plan Water Shortage Contingency Plan Water Supply Reliability Recycled Water Master Plan Conjunction with WRRF Expansion of System Storage Questions Recommendation Receive and file the 2015 Water Resources Status Report